Arkansas State
W-L: ( 5- 4) PR = 66.4279Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H SE Mo` St 42-24 906 A Arkansas SEC ( 2- 7, 77.4) 14-56 913 H Iowa St B12 ( 4- 4, 78.2) 16-24 920 A Kennesaw St CUSA ( 6- 2, 72.3) 21-28 927 A La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 6, 58.0) 16-28 1004 H Texas State SUN ( 2- 6, 67.6) 31-30 1014 A So Alabama SUN ( 2- 7, 62.6) 15-14 1025 H Georgia So SUN ( 3- 5, 61.4) 31-21 1101 A Troy SUN ( 6- 3, 68.1) 23-10 1108 H So Miss SUN ( 5- 3, 68.2) 1120 H Louisiana SUN ( 3- 5, 64.4) 1129 A App St SUN ( 4- 4, 67.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Arkansas 14-56 -42 -15 -- -5.15
913 H Iowa St 16-24 -8 -8 -0.16
920 A Kennesaw St 21-28 -7 -10 + 2.78
927 A La-Monroe 16-28 -12 4 --- -16.47
1004 H Texas State 31-30 1 3 -1.78
1014 A So Alabama 15-14 1 0 1.15
1025 H Georgia So 31-21 10 9 1.07
1101 A Troy 23-10 13 -6 +++ 18.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 A La-Monroe 16-28 -12 4 --- -16.47 906 A Arkansas 14-56 -42 -15 -- -5.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1101 A Troy 23-10 13 -6 +++ 18.56 920 A Kennesaw St 21-28 -7 -10 + 2.78 |
Arkansas State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Clemson | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wake Forest | |
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Memphis | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | No Texas | |
| Rice | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| UAB | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UTSA | |
| Arizona | Arizona | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Arizona St | |
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Colorado | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Colorado | |
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Indiana | |
| Iowa | Iowa | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Arkansas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| Jacksonv. St | Arkansas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | ||
| Liberty | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| La Tech | La Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | La Tech | |
| Middle Tenn | Arkansas State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| NM St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| SHouston St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| UTEP | Arkansas State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arkansas State | |
| We Kentucky | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| UMass | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Ball St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Bowl. Green | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Buffalo | Arkansas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Ea Michigan | Arkansas State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| Kent State | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| MiamiOH | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| No Illinois | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We Michigan | We Michigan | We Michigan | ||
| Air Force | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | ||
| Nevada | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Oregon St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | Wash St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Miss St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Miss St | |
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tennessee | |
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | App St | App St | ||
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Coastal Car | |
| Georgia So | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Georgia St | Arkansas State | Arkansas State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | Arkansas State | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Arkansas State | |
| Marshall | Marshall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Marshall | |
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Old Dominion | |
| So Miss | So Miss | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | So Miss | |
| So Alabama | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Texas State | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Troy | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| La-Monroe | La-Monroe | La-Monroe |
PowerWise = 36
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Arkansas ( 2- 7, 77.4) 14-56 -22.55 31.44 3.93 1.06 -9.85
0 H Iowa St ( 4- 4, 78.2) 16-24 -21.71 32.28 -3.93 1.06 -13.56
0 A Kennesaw St ( 6- 2, 72.3) 21-28 -27.62 26.37 3.93 1.06 -12.53
0 A La-Monroe ( 3- 6, 58.0) 16-28 -41.87 12.12 3.93 1.06 -20.07
0 H Texas State ( 2- 6, 67.6) 31-30 -32.32 21.66 -3.93 1.06 37.52
0 A So Alabama ( 2- 7, 62.6) 15-14 -37.25 16.74 3.93 1.06 43.73
0 H Georgia So ( 3- 5, 61.4) 31-21 -38.47 15.52 -3.93 1.06 24.51
0 A Troy ( 6- 3, 68.1) 23-10 -31.84 22.15 3.93 1.06 55.17
------
104.93
|
winning pts = 160.9299 losing points = -56.0038
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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